Asian League · resolved market
Will Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a737140a5a83c5d3d29f0e18875e7bfbd91bd1c81952223e6ea9da8590af6bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfab…ccf9backed Yes | 49c | 3,170$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 1,882$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.17 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 951.94$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.36 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 19c | 915.66$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.96 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 45c | 890.6$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.45 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f8…0108backed Yes | 30c | 667$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 21c | 620.4$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.14 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 37c | 502.49$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.98 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 494.49$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.14 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 42c | 478.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.32 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 17c | 465$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.37 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 451.04$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.02 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 60c | 432.5$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 58c | 389.04$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.64 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 40c | 323.84$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.3 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 70c | 219.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 40c | 219$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.71 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 55c | 217$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 71c | 190$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 9c | 176.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 45c | 157.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.35 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 18c | 154.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 54c | 153$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Yes | 25c | 150$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 57c | 134$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 33c | 132$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 47c | 110.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 43c | 102.16$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 23c | 100.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…7e92backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 33c | 99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 37c | 96.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Yes | 33c | 82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…d005backed Yes | 77c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 66c | 51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked No | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 71c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 42c | 40.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 37c | 40.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 58c | 26.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 25.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed No | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +7.1wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-08-16?No won
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.