Asian League · resolved market
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x858ea4efe024773dad98a6ae22bce4d9faa8622ac86b075cc5cd7348d0626bf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfab…ccf9backed Yes | 42c | 2,952$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 9c | 1,504$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.81 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,222$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.94 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 1,108$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.01 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 59c | 862.54$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.96 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 21c | 832.26$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.42 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 797.84$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.62 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 27c | 714.26$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.38 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 65c | 674.71$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.96 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 570.26$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 55c | 568$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.44 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 431.93$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 7c | 430.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 19c | 391.84$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 27c | 352.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 9c | 322.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 307$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed Yes | 18c | 272.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 18c | 202.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 54c | 202.32$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 26c | 172$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 26c | 170$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 27c | 150.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 142.81$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 25c | 126.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 50c | 119.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f42bbacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 15c | 97.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 14c | 95.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Yes | 12c | 90$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 70c | 87.54$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 77c | 78.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 60 | 81.7%49 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 27c | 63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 26c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 57c | 58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 76c | 40.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 38.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 52c | 34.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 55c | 32.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 74c | 24.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.