TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,063
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$217,956

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,063 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3ea2…e8e5backed Yes1c100,000$500 inLost-$5002119%4 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes7c6,767$453 inLost-$453.3917636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes7c2,899$200 inLost-$2006018.3%11 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed Yes7c2,899$200 inLost-$2008710.3%9 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-58.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c2,002$135 inLost-$135.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes7c1,516$100 inLost-$99.993,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7195…f4eebacked Yes7c1,493$100 inLost-$10010617.9%19 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ee…a1debacked Yes7c1,449$100 inLost-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Yes7c750$50 inLost-$49.52339.1%9 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick24cpaid+63.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c51…3c8fbacked Yes7c746.27$50 inLost-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-76%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes7c735.29$50 inLost-$5030220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes7c672.12$44 inLost-$44.343,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7815…fb62backed Yes7c650.75$44 inLost-$43.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes7c585$39 inLost-$39.297742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1af9…9931backed Yes7c460$31 inLost-$30.77230%0 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6242…4410backed Yes7c373.13$25 inLost-$256119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes6c350.88$20 inLost-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9356…5667backed Yes7c298.51$20 inLost-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12cc…af5abacked Yes7c200$14 inLost-$13.61711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-62%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1236…7d21backed Yes7c157.32$11 inLost-$10.73145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes11c105.26$12 inLost-$1249426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.