Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85e96f0731b0979cccce112ea0ead468dcf56de96dbd220c659bb4db59d7c8a0

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $225,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $167,241

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,806 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	6c	8,000$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.5	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12b5…5c2bbacked Yes	27c	7,510$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	5,121$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.6	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	14c	4,658$638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638.01	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	12c	3,638$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.26	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	0c	3,579$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.61	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	3c	3,341$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x114a…f1d1backed Yes	15c	3,301$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.2	40	12.5%5 W · 35 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	77c	3,080$2,387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$693.42	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	6c	3,000$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.59	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	2,579$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.18	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	7c	2,540$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.73	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	4c	2,517$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.93	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	1,854$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.95	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	7c	1,609$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.35	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	2c	1,554$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.89	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	11c	1,500$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb26f…aa5fbacked Yes	18c	1,307$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.33	49	18.4%9 W · 40 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	1,278$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.01	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	2c	1,204$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.9	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	5c	1,090$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.34	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	75c	1,078$813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.69	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fff…3cf1backed Yes	12c	1,050$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.97	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	1,000$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.55	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	7c	976.51$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.54	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes	10c	847.06$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.71	253	11.5%29 W · 224 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35af…94bbbacked Yes	6c	750$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…04cebacked Yes	7c	750$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	119	32.8%39 W · 80 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa59c…bb62backed Yes	4c	714.83$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.51	174	19%33 W · 141 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x984f…ba69backed Yes	10c	694.43$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.98	158	17.7%28 W · 130 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	19c	676.54$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	15c	666.66$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	72c	614.11$442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.83	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa713…4485backed Yes	3c	553.06$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.66	342	15.8%54 W · 288 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes	17c	550.66$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.65	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Yes	12c	522.11$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.59	424	24.5%104 W · 320 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	11c	504.79$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.59	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	75c	503.39$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.23	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	6c	500$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes	8c	496.43$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.18	123	8.1%10 W · 113 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	14c	457.42$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.06	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	8c	454.82$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.54	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes	15c	434.67$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	109	24.8%27 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81d4…3c9fbacked Yes	15c	404.78$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.62	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-3.4wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-44%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed Yes	20c	401.87$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.13	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x59b8…11a5backed Yes	15c	385.9$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.88	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	+13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	11c	374.24$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.45	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	9c	363.08$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.7	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	5c	355.55$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	8c	350.15$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	4c	345.94$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x859b…d03abacked Yes	15c	319.99$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes	5c	317.87$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.18	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	17c	312.76$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.65	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a0…fb10backed Yes	10c	300$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	140	26.4%37 W · 103 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9279…ff7bbacked Yes	11c	299.81$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	73	16.4%12 W · 61 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-39%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…2f1ebacked No	67c	284$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.96	131	61.8%81 W · 50 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	16c	263.96$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.21	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29e1…29f8backed Yes	17c	263$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.87	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c09…eea9backed Yes	14c	262.53$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.4	64	18.8%12 W · 52 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe207…9f79backed Yes	15c	262.17$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.33	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb627…d968backed Yes	6c	256.06$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.16	199	33.2%66 W · 133 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e1…0fa0backed Yes	15c	255.47$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.6	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81cd…4882backed Yes	18c	245.6$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.21	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-24%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd364…8f8bbacked Yes	10c	240$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	20	15%3 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc77…08a4backed Yes	14c	212.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	23cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No	65c	209.27$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.25	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	14c	200$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad0c…df3cbacked No	80c	200$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	280	34.3%96 W · 184 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba75…837fbacked Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	15c	199.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes	6c	195$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ff…ec42backed Yes	10c	187$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.59	90	18.9%17 W · 73 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9996…bda1backed Yes	15c	186.67$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	149	13.4%20 W · 129 L	-9.6wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bc0…6bb7backed Yes	21c	183.96$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.63	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x063d…35c7backed Yes	7c	177.17$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.63	65	23.1%15 W · 50 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc55f…9475backed Yes	8c	169.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x652e…4a94backed Yes	14c	153.15$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	133	23.3%31 W · 102 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	10c	152.08$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0898…9a5bbacked Yes	15c	150$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	98	15.3%15 W · 83 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-29%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	13c	150$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0aa…13b3backed Yes	17c	132.01$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b3…98f4backed Yes	16c	131.2$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.16	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	14c	130.46$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.26	99	47.5%47 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8614…0ff5backed Yes	16c	128.69$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.59	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8f…09cdbacked Yes	16c	126.01$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	79c	115.86$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.33	73	71.2%52 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x014f…d2e1backed Yes	13c	115.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c04…6587backed Yes	16c	115.18$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	470	32.6%153 W · 317 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x646c…dff9backed Yes	14c	107.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb015…42c3backed Yes	19c	106$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.14	71	14.1%10 W · 61 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73b5…e8a3backed Yes	13c	103.85$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	92	18.5%17 W · 75 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53d…146cbacked Yes	16c	102.45$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.39	117	23.1%27 W · 90 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6933…0f16backed Yes	17c	100.08$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.01	475	10.5%50 W · 425 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7e4…b67bbacked Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc86e…5632backed Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	36cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x220c…8853backed Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0de6…9933backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event