TailMyPicks

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Europa Conference League · resolved market

FC Flora vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: Team to Advance

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Inter Club d'Escaldesof FC Flora, Inter Club d'Escaldes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,206

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,133 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed FC Flora22c2,684$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.5837446.8%175 W · 199 L+27.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Inter Club d'Escaldes78c2,442$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.51,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed FC Flora28c999.98$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28011127%30 W · 81 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Inter Club d'Escaldes72c546.07$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.918252.7%96 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Inter Club d'Escaldes74c539.94$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.985841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Inter Club d'Escaldes74c482$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2338144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FC Flora7c357.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0379532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb756…92d7backed FC Flora26c350.41$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.31per pick49cpaid-61.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xff7e…8a0fbacked Inter Club d'Escaldes78c291$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FC Flora19c277.93$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7278344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed FC Flora51c253$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0331842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Inter Club d'Escaldes49c253$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.032166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+62.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked FC Flora24c249.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+162.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked FC Flora27c181.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502060%12 W · 8 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+102.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x052c…6762backed Inter Club d'Escaldes76c157.5$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Inter Club d'Escaldes73c123.59$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.571,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed FC Flora25c88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2216446.3%76 W · 88 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Inter Club d'Escaldes76c66.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1879354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Inter Club d'Escaldes72c59$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.521861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed FC Flora25c45.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.487650%38 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Inter Club d'Escaldes73c43.71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.91,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1a4…99d0backed Inter Club d'Escaldes75c42.47$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58cc…6415backed Inter Club d'Escaldes72c30.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03dc…64fdbacked Inter Club d'Escaldes74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.25766.7%38 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f38…13c8backed Inter Club d'Escaldes71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.95100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Inter Club d'Escaldes74c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6815352.9%81 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf5…41abbacked Inter Club d'Escaldes74c16.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.39650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Inter Club d'Escaldes75c16.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.09757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Inter Club d'Escaldes74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.93363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dff…bb1ebacked Inter Club d'Escaldes76c14.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.482352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.