Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Flora vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x059b4437d8e260348869962c169a0d20613541f3c60da4ad6f4160dcd698eff3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf18…3ca8backed Under | 46c | 3,292$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 2,694$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.92 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 56c | 1,786$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.36 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 44c | 1,258$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.58 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 818.08$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.06 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 48c | 784.32$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.14 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 60c | 741.2$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.54 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 45c | 732.32$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.03 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 48c | 726.44$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.37 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Under | 51c | 557.59$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…3415backed Under | 52c | 512.01$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 485.88$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.28 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 50c | 345.85$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.06 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 23c | 328$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…280ebacked Over | 50c | 294$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 70c | 278.74$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.12 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 49c | 265.51$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.41 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 250.77$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 50c | 225.34$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.41 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked Over | 60c | 210$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 44c | 189.27$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Under | 50c | 158.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 50c | 154.61$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 57c | 150.37$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 140.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 43c | 90.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f61…86acbacked Over | 66c | 86.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Over | 50c | 81.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 45c | 70.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Under | 52c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 51.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 54c | 45.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 45.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…db0cbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 59c | 40.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 52c | 33.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 56c | 33.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 48c | 33.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x456c…a9eebacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…1e34backed Over | 78c | 31.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 51c | 25.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 76 | 77.6%59 W · 17 L | +13.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 50c | 24.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 55c | 23.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 49c | 21.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 55c | 19.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Flora vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Flora vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Flora vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Flora vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Flora vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Flora vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Flora vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Flora vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Flora vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC Flora vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: Team to AdvanceInter Club d'Escaldes won
- Spread: FC Flora (-1.5)Inter Club d'Escaldes won
- Spread: FC Flora (-2.5)Inter Club d'Escaldes won
- Spread: Inter Club d'Escaldes (-1.5)Inter Club d'Escaldes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.