South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b4031e87e4bfcedfa0a66af3bf6fd839ab6547682eefa09c2c8ebf4d70b6062
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 17c | 19,617$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,365.49 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 18c | 10,772$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.76 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 79c | 5,000$3,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.28 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 17c | 4,639$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…f7b8backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 1,241$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.55 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,059$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.16 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes | 10c | 999.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 901.13$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.12 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Yes | 15c | 863$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.45 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 855.57$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.56 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 16c | 623$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Yes | 15c | 434.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 17c | 397.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 16c | 288.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x295a…2ff2backed Yes | 17c | 230$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 18c | 174.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf77a…d17bbacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 25c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Yes | 14c | 138.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32a5…6be1backed Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed No | 75c | 97.96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 17c | 97.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…8cd9backed Yes | 22c | 95.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 22c | 88.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 16c | 69.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 23c | 64.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 20c | 52.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 79c | 43.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 77c | 28.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.