South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd88da9d2b8025147b7dea336c3911bfec491592b8d9e44c3b2ca493867db35a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 59c | 3,352$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.55 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 15c | 1,688$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.2 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 50c | 1,653$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.04 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 1,564$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.6 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 47c | 1,083$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 76c | 1,000$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.95 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 51c | 930.49$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.51 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 24c | 906.34$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.35 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 36c | 739.63$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.5 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes | 40c | 503.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.91 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 74c | 363.29$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 11c | 299.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…132cbacked No | 26c | 274.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 41c | 244.74$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 67c | 243.2$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 59c | 230$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.19 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 46c | 196.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.43 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 42c | 138$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 76c | 131.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 74c | 128.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 44c | 99.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 44c | 99.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 23c | 97.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 71c | 92.61$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 45c | 87.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 64c | 69.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…08b6backed No | 27c | 65.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 45c | 57.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 49c | 51.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed No | 42c | 49.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Yes | 64c | 48.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked No | 45c | 44.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 34c | 35.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 43c | 33.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 44c | 32.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 43c | 31.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 45c | 29.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 66c | 28.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 74c | 15.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 78c | 13.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-08-05?No won
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.