South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-08-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x423627d694ba4d8f61322a77f442d4ef9758a4ac07f038244a946465847ba03b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 18c | 7,986$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.93 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 21c | 6,187$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.27 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 79c | 5,524$4,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.17 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 78c | 3,660$2,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.61 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…57fcbacked Yes | 26c | 2,555$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 2,242$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.08 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 1c | 1,787$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 78c | 1,625$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.94 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 1,176$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.41 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 1,163$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.2 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 1,003$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.02 | 673 | 37.1%250 W · 423 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 858.11$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.33 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 20c | 467$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 722 | 58.6%423 W · 299 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 27c | 462.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 21c | 433.12$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 409.19$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 21c | 379.84$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 21c | 374.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…31fbbacked Yes | 23c | 265.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 71c | 246.47$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 21c | 237.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 21c | 232.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 211.54$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 197.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed No | 78c | 194$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 77cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 10c | 184.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 13c | 171.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 72c | 160$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 7c | 146$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 25c | 132.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 312 | 40.1%125 W · 187 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe573…0a38backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 91.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…6413backed Yes | 16c | 73.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 20c | 70.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed No | 71c | 70.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 29c | 64.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 425 | 62.4%265 W · 160 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 23c | 60.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 22c | 56.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 73c | 54.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 25c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed No | 77c | 38.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 34.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 74c | 33.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd554…a27abacked No | 71c | 32.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 26.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f06…2281backed No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 74c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 75c | 15.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed No | 80c | 15.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-08-05?this page
- Will CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.