Tennis · resolved market
Menorca: Raul Brancaccio vs Sebastian Ofner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31a50b9071c5bb464e6fae3196ccf2e5caa0f2ceca2742f43db66f44e29b1893
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raul Brancaccioof Raul Brancaccio, Sebastian Ofner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe30e…6b87backed Raul Brancaccio | 13c | 25,167$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,814.3 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Raul Brancaccio | 44c | 14,003$6,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,832.95 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sebastian Ofner | 39c | 10,730$4,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,192.62 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Raul Brancaccio | 36c | 4,266$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.77 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Raul Brancaccio | 51c | 3,584$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.61 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Raul Brancaccio | 78c | 3,185$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.76 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Raul Brancaccio | 58c | 3,116$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.54 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4815…8ba4backed Raul Brancaccio | 20c | 3,075$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.26 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Raul Brancaccio | 13c | 2,261$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.67 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…7135backed Sebastian Ofner | 78c | 2,185$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.31 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Raul Brancaccio | 34c | 1,644$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.11 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sebastian Ofner | 72c | 1,458$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.38 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sebastian Ofner | 7c | 1,373$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Raul Brancaccio | 24c | 1,240$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.4 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raul Brancaccio | 53c | 1,109$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.23 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…5cdebacked Sebastian Ofner | 43c | 1,032$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.99 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Raul Brancaccio | 31c | 980.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.34 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Sebastian Ofner | 43c | 565.98$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.37 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sebastian Ofner | 51c | 549.08$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.37 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…dd59backed Raul Brancaccio | 15c | 442.87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.44 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Raul Brancaccio | 9c | 399.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.97 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Sebastian Ofner | 80c | 392.55$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.83 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Raul Brancaccio | 38c | 367.59$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.26 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…8eaebacked Sebastian Ofner | 54c | 362.46$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.44 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Raul Brancaccio | 52c | 361.69$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.46 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Raul Brancaccio | 9c | 347.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.26 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 328.3$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.29 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Sebastian Ofner | 46c | 318.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.15 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked Sebastian Ofner | 6c | 276.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Sebastian Ofner | 9c | 272.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2257…eb1bbacked Raul Brancaccio | 50c | 246.11$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.05 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 240.84$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Raul Brancaccio | 10c | 227.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.19 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Sebastian Ofner | 75c | 223.68$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.79 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 64c | 217.27$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.15 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked Raul Brancaccio | 11c | 212.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.17 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Sebastian Ofner | 76c | 211.09$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.63 | 113 | 27.4%31 W · 82 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Raul Brancaccio | 14c | 202.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.15 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…2f95backed Raul Brancaccio | 13c | 199$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Raul Brancaccio | 75c | 197$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Raul Brancaccio | 53c | 174.62$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Raul Brancaccio | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 331 | 49.2%163 W · 168 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Raul Brancaccio | 13c | 158.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.26 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Raul Brancaccio | 50c | 158.05$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Raul Brancaccio | 11c | 157.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.02 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Raul Brancaccio | 20c | 156$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.98 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 54c | 143.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…0e08backed Raul Brancaccio | 16c | 119.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.54 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…e118backed Sebastian Ofner | 42c | 116.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Raul Brancaccio | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…064abacked Raul Brancaccio | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Raul Brancaccio | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 238 | 65.5%156 W · 82 L | +31.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Raul Brancaccio | 64c | 97.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Raul Brancaccio | 39c | 94.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Raul Brancaccio | 11c | 90.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7332…e031backed Sebastian Ofner | 42c | 84.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Sebastian Ofner | 53c | 83.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 81.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fe…9af6backed Sebastian Ofner | 42c | 79.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…7febbacked Sebastian Ofner | 49c | 78.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Raul Brancaccio | 17c | 78.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Sebastian Ofner | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Raul Brancaccio | 57c | 67.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Raul Brancaccio | 36c | 65.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Raul Brancaccio | 19c | 64.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…e87ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 53c | 63.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Sebastian Ofner | 47c | 46.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…7ac1backed Sebastian Ofner | 80c | 43.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Sebastian Ofner | 43c | 41.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Sebastian Ofner | 39c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Raul Brancaccio | 57c | 39.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Sebastian Ofner | 78c | 34.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed Sebastian Ofner | 50c | 29.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked Sebastian Ofner | 61c | 22.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed Sebastian Ofner | 58c | 17.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.