TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago Cubsof Milwaukee Brewers, Chicago Cubs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,531
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,531 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs55c14,424$7,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,458.9811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs38c9,269$3,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,743.418,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Milwaukee Brewers55c7,466$4,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,083.671,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers50c6,971$3,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,470.3512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Milwaukee Brewers42c4,725$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.034,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs45c4,647$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.8910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Milwaukee Brewers63c4,339$2,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,733.571,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Milwaukee Brewers45c1,973$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.382,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers42c1,756$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.444,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Chicago Cubs54c1,162$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.5271650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Chicago Cubs56c1,111$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.8486653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Milwaukee Brewers44c989.36$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.321,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Chicago Cubs56c893.25$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.536048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Milwaukee Brewers64c626.66$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020456.9%116 W · 88 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Chicago Cubs59c593.22$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.221,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers41c589.09$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.523,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Chicago Cubs53c540.83$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.1961450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Chicago Cubs58c482.92$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.4737052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers46c468.36$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.518,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Chicago Cubs77c435.69$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.065,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Milwaukee Brewers5c399$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.953,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Milwaukee Brewers53c396.23$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21063943.3%277 W · 362 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Milwaukee Brewers43c299.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1282,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Milwaukee Brewers46c299.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9999447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Milwaukee Brewers69c288.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013255.3%73 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Milwaukee Brewers15c280.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Milwaukee Brewers6c263$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.881,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago Cubs54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.42,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Milwaukee Brewers65c230.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030554.4%166 W · 139 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Milwaukee Brewers64c220$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.817659.7%105 W · 71 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Milwaukee Brewers42c207.86$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.32,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Milwaukee Brewers35c192.27$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.86,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Milwaukee Brewers45c190.69$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.452,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Milwaukee Brewers64c156$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.847568%51 W · 24 L+10.6wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+25.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Milwaukee Brewers61c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.55,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Milwaukee Brewers64c142.23$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0312855.5%71 W · 57 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs58c134$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.286,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers55c112.73$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.874,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs42c107$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.722,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Milwaukee Brewers42c104.78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Chicago Cubs58c102.49$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0557747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Milwaukee Brewers20c97.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.842,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Milwaukee Brewers48c92.87$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.851,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Milwaukee Brewers63c86.78$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6730048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Milwaukee Brewers63c86.25$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.678964%57 W · 32 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Milwaukee Brewers50c82.48$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2446952.5%246 W · 223 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6557…ec12backed Milwaukee Brewers43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Milwaukee Brewers64c78.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020156.2%113 W · 88 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Milwaukee Brewers43c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.252,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Milwaukee Brewers64c68.34$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.748660.5%52 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Chicago Cubs58c65.83$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6556851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Chicago Cubs58c65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.350647%238 W · 268 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Milwaukee Brewers63c63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6918347%86 W · 97 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Milwaukee Brewers48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028639.2%112 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs37c60.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.984,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Milwaukee Brewers37c59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.764,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43dc…37f1backed Milwaukee Brewers43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253060%18 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Milwaukee Brewers71c56.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013558.5%79 W · 56 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Milwaukee Brewers43c47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2172154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Milwaukee Brewers39c47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2416734.7%58 W · 109 L-17.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-31.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Milwaukee Brewers64c44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.169557.9%55 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Chicago Cubs59c42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.434,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Chicago Cubs57c41.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0185949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Milwaukee Brewers43c41.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0129547.1%139 W · 156 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed Milwaukee Brewers63c40.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.637646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Chicago Cubs56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.644745.6%204 W · 243 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Chicago Cubs54c37.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.451,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e20…5cf9backed Chicago Cubs40c35.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3215048%72 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Milwaukee Brewers46c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.152852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3129…22edbacked Chicago Cubs58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4812746.5%59 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Chicago Cubs61c31.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.441,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Chicago Cubs57c30.35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.184847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Chicago Cubs56c26.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.534451.5%177 W · 167 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Chicago Cubs72c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.792,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Chicago Cubs59c23.81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8189950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Chicago Cubs59c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.971,46463.5%929 W · 535 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Chicago Cubs77c13.17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0374657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.