Will Lennart Kahl score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae9027030546136517245d581746aa851f676f3acc87f463ab2c1bd892801901

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $24,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $25,439

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,783 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe542…0a37backed No	74c	2,522$1,858 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$663.55	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cca…8323backed Yes	1c	1,660$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	+5.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	14c	1,200$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	40c	831.2$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.15	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes	14c	700$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes	12c	600$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5494…faacbacked Yes	79c	251.74$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	8c	183.09$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.96	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xbb75…f496backed No	17c	176.47$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.47	42	9.5%4 W · 38 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked No	61c	100$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	95	55.8%53 W · 42 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.4	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes	27c	69$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.88	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd76d…c5c6backed Yes	32c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc318…d82abacked Yes	58c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Yes	58c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-15.0wins	-0.13per pick	62cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x30b8…fbf3backed No	71c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.8	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x29ef…dddabacked No	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-9.0wins	-0.25per pick	64cpaid	-35%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Lennart Kahl score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event