Earnings · resolved market
Will Infosys (INFY) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a2614893c2b31c4aff00fc6e3fdc1508b88c3c8d48e2e8fd3ae8d940697018e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 47c | 2,438$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.49 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 52c | 1,513$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.77 | 207 | 42%87 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a7…3b81backed No | 70c | 675$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 72c | 481.1$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.61 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed Yes | 30c | 399.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.4 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes | 35c | 273.74$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed Yes | 53c | 238$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 221.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.17 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…6dd7backed No | 68c | 202.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 44c | 147.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.91 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 17c | 117.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…36c1backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…44e3backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…9013backed Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf627…fba2backed No | 69c | 77.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 69c | 65.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 30c | 64.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 64c | 57.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 69c | 54.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 68c | 51.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c9…60c5backed Yes | 52c | 42.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a2…cba6backed No | 66c | 42.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad0…89d2backed No | 61c | 39.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe000…cbb1backed Yes | 35c | 37.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 141 | 71.6%101 W · 40 L | +22.4wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 70c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb918…0158backed Yes | 36c | 28.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 63c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9635…6863backed No | 69c | 21.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd7…f634backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.