TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,667
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,667 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbb75…f496backed Yes7c381.57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.861915.8%3 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+84.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No19c378.16$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.821507.3%11 W · 139 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked No17c228.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.361,00110.5%105 W · 896 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No16c197.86$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0338848.5%188 W · 200 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8257…da02backed Yes68c189.26$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3412745.7%58 W · 69 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x564f…7026backed Yes46c155.1$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.831242.9%134 W · 178 L+21.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0698…e3f5backed No8c124$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e53…5c9dbacked Yes58c120.92$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.172450%12 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No50c102.22$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1727647.8%132 W · 144 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa37a…bc60backed Yes67c89.04$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.562839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes73c73$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2031743.2%137 W · 180 L+28.2wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+13.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7849…da97backed Yes39c53.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1234127.3%93 W · 248 L+1.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No35c53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6110145.5%46 W · 55 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362763%17 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e50…98f0backed Yes27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.533027.9%92 W · 238 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No44c47.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7951018.2%93 W · 417 L-89.7wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-49.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No34c47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.758148.1%39 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes80c38.52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.722926.6%61 W · 168 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-48.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75fd…9924backed Yes38c38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.48837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No51c35.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1821063.3%133 W · 77 L+22.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+30.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa7e5…dc0dbacked Yes50c26.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.973100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x871a…4363backed Yes64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8470…aee9backed Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+74.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Yes76c14.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.