Serie A · resolved market
Will Massimiliano Allegri be the next manager of SSC Napoli?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17be3ca0e691850774ca5e68d062c9cf4f8b0775ce3887de9132d54f3d391ed9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x49d1…8131backed No | 1c | 5,167$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 4c | 749.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed Yes | 14c | 556.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +339.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0d…9ad2backed Yes | 77c | 416.05$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 68c | 394$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.97 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 67c | 377.81$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.24 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…f35cbacked No | 13c | 191.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 30c | 129.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 10cpaid | +74%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 24c | 84.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 14c | 82.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a0…b560backed Yes | 79c | 63.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319b…f04ebacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Massimiliano Allegri be the next manager of SSC Napoli?this page
- Will Andoni Iraola be the next manager of SSC Napoli?No won
- Will Filipe Luis be the next manager of SSC Napoli?No won
- Will Mauricio Pochettino be the next manager of SSC Napoli?No won
- Will Maurizio Sarri be the next manager of SSC Napoli?No won
- Will Ruben Amorim be the next manager of SSC Napoli?No won
- Will Xavi Hernandez be the next manager of SSC Napoli?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.