Fifa International · resolved market
France leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62148e6e4228cb5b375fa16951fbc8bdfb24f4ca5ea6956ae672618476a76e2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 45c | 8,997$4,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,051.53 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 53c | 5,668$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.27 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Yes | 56c | 4,482$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.2 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 3,791$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.5 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 47c | 1,669$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.48 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked No | 1c | 975.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 65c | 745.91$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.45 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Yes | 57c | 573.33$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.52 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 38c | 443.48$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.27 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked No | 44c | 410.68$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.7 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 64c | 369.02$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.03 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…ade6backed Yes | 57c | 341.07$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.66 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Yes | 61c | 334.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.96 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…b8acbacked Yes | 58c | 324.98$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.98 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 312.02$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.05 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7757…120cbacked No | 68c | 294.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 43c | 291$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.77 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 34c | 207.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked Yes | 47c | 207.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.73 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 37c | 186.14$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b70…9ba6backed Yes | 63c | 158.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +227.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +41%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 64c | 155.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 64c | 155.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 38c | 152.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Yes | 46c | 141.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd895…39e2backed Yes | 61c | 126.1$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 42c | 121.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40d…d654backed Yes | 56c | 106.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 315 | 43.5%137 W · 178 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…96c6backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 37c | 99.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 33c | 91.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes | 58c | 86.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x147d…7c03backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…3918backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 33c | 75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 34c | 64.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 63.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…06a5backed Yes | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 38c | 55.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfa…0093backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 50.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddcb…1815backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…9248backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +38%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 47c | 42.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 62c | 41.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 53c | 41.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe60…5eb9backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb507…e1d3backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2059…4d1fbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2c…31f4backed Yes | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…58e8backed Yes | 63c | 26.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 61c | 26.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…d92dbacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Yes | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed No | 44c | 23.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9288…be38backed Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…e7d7backed Yes | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…94cdbacked Yes | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France leading at halftime?this page
- Côte d'Ivoire leading at halftime?No won
- France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.