Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f634c54c82adf644b5648e6c349960f7628d8adf250c5d3dd4a80c3f688a16a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 37c | 2,374$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.2 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed Yes | 7c | 851.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…f0d8backed Yes | 79c | 240.57$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed Yes | 7c | 212.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 69 | 10.1%7 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 18c | 169.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.76 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 30c | 165.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…2641backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Yes | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 59c | 99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 15c | 69.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 62.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…5864backed Yes | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 62.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 55.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…06a5backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c33…293ebacked Yes | 52c | 28.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…399ebacked Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Draw at halftime?this page
- Côte d'Ivoire leading at halftime?No won
- France leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.