Fifa International · resolved market
Kosovo leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x550838e0ce1cec151588716345ce0c5aac3c0c769d2584a8ff1d722a6ea005b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 48c | 2,847$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.38 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 1,412$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.87 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 55c | 346.91$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.39 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 27c | 299.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.32 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 58c | 191.95$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.62 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 55c | 173$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Yes | 59c | 166.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…fafcbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 18c | 166.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed No | 42c | 164.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 65c | 154.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 35c | 141.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 37c | 132.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.43 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 37c | 129.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 123.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Yes | 58c | 113.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 40c | 79.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 47c | 51.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 59c | 40.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked Yes | 55c | 22.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 61c | 17.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kosovo leading at halftime?this page
- Andorra leading at halftime?No won
- Kosovo vs. Andorra: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.