Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x085affde1f9fb9277f99849a12384bbe2f4963b978a3fcd4ad4c4f6cff11d981
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $356,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,428 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 0c | 15,987$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa459…7dd6backed Yes | 0c | 9,259$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 2c | 7,960$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.26 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 4c | 7,140$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.58 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,468$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed41…38afbacked Yes | 0c | 4,775$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…e13abacked Yes | 6c | 3,912$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…c600backed Yes | 6c | 3,785$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e92…7558backed Yes | 7c | 3,368$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +474.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…d8ddbacked Yes | 6c | 3,196$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb838…1f76backed Yes | 6c | 3,192$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dac…6cf5backed Yes | 6c | 3,075$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x867c…4c4fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,062$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…5c3dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,462$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd083…ea42backed Yes | 3c | 2,360$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03f…ba60backed Yes | 5c | 2,322$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…aaf2backed Yes | 6c | 2,322$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…202cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,310$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…dca0backed Yes | 5c | 2,058$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…a181backed Yes | 6c | 2,008$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 226 | 10.6%24 W · 202 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…b5adbacked Yes | 6c | 1,953$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…9262backed Yes | 6c | 1,950$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…62d5backed Yes | 3c | 1,836$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…3630backed Yes | 5c | 1,706$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa80f…f6e3backed Yes | 3c | 1,673$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…f394backed Yes | 7c | 1,646$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes | 2c | 1,644$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 301 | 10.3%31 W · 270 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 4c | 1,559$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d54…e1e8backed Yes | 6c | 1,558$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a4…8c7bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,552$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…4861backed Yes | 6c | 1,548$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…e969backed Yes | 7c | 1,536$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 3c | 1,535$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…756dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,530$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…8e04backed Yes | 7c | 1,527$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 1,519$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 1c | 1,505$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3075…1100backed Yes | 6c | 1,502$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 3c | 1,495$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…cc99backed Yes | 7c | 1,490$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb7…6debbacked Yes | 6c | 1,442$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…f7f1backed Yes | 6c | 1,412$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…6694backed Yes | 7c | 1,376$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…6f76backed Yes | 7c | 1,338$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,294$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 730 | 4.5%33 W · 697 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…5903backed Yes | 7c | 1,294$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +283.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…69bbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,279$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…b7c4backed Yes | 6c | 1,183$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…71afbacked Yes | 1c | 1,174$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x808f…6efbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,145$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +474.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,133$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 262 | 11.1%29 W · 233 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d3…aad1backed Yes | 6c | 1,133$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9f…90aebacked Yes | 3c | 1,102$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef6…7d9fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc6…0cc9backed Yes | 6c | 1,052$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf454…6fdfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,042$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…6a7ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa713…4485backed Yes | 2c | 999.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 342 | 15.8%54 W · 288 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked Yes | 7c | 999.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 562 | 8.9%50 W · 512 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…4288backed Yes | 7c | 982$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +445.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc3…d28cbacked Yes | 6c | 957$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…bafbbacked Yes | 1c | 952.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 6c | 950.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf59d…a7bebacked Yes | 6c | 927$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…72e9backed Yes | 5c | 920.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8938…d959backed Yes | 6c | 917$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d51…0befbacked Yes | 7c | 899$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…71c9backed Yes | 7c | 872$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…96bbbacked Yes | 6c | 812$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…60fdbacked Yes | 6c | 778$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c5…fd7ebacked Yes | 7c | 750$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 7cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…c1dbbacked Yes | 7c | 727$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…4237backed Yes | 7c | 723$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x407a…6752backed Yes | 7c | 650$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fc…229ebacked Yes | 2c | 633.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 135 | 11.9%16 W · 119 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 7c | 630.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 115 | 12.2%14 W · 101 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…b52fbacked Yes | 3c | 628.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5f…1360backed Yes | 5c | 554$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e4…61f2backed Yes | 6c | 548$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe262…4097backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Yes | 4c | 499.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 13.3%18 W · 117 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 5c | 495.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ca…c80dbacked Yes | 6c | 441$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb3…16e7backed Yes | 7c | 440.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…b45fbacked Yes | 6c | 424$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…44b6backed Yes | 3c | 409.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…05d5backed Yes | 6c | 375$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 5c | 356.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…ff9abacked Yes | 7c | 318.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 87 | 12.6%11 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…e90fbacked Yes | 6c | 280$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f6…2976backed Yes | 7c | 272$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773b…640ebacked Yes | 8c | 259.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7b…620fbacked Yes | 4c | 227.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc13…c991backed Yes | 5c | 198.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 161 | 24.2%39 W · 122 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…c578backed Yes | 7c | 175$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…ce41backed Yes | 8c | 128.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.