Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb66dfe08f8dcfed0ebe5e37bd5bfe066cfce674e4fd8b91a57a6960c8ea627f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 23,126$9,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,462.57 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 20,869$11,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,974.51 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 52c | 1,235$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.19 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 48c | 679.85$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.52 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…babcbacked No | 3c | 504.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 52c | 480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Yes | 70c | 454.54$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 52c | 348.72$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.33 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 67c | 298.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +9.1wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 48c | 209.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.76 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 67c | 149.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 48c | 116$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 62c | 102$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 48c | 25.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Genoa CFC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.