Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaf90c42a5391fec9d0cbc91b6643de8ea0fc57f71cf6b82b421e2b8a30439a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 935.88$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.41 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 16c | 647.55$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 66c | 614.12$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.76 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 546.76$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.59 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 60c | 533$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 67c | 328.36$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 236.35$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 73c | 208.68$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a31…67b7backed Over | 67c | 180$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 33c | 180$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…8f49backed Over | 54c | 175.8$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Over | 61c | 149$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 61c | 130.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 92.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 57c | 89.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 29c | 63.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…fef9backed Over | 67c | 54.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over | 72c | 40.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 54c | 37.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 52c | 30.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 47c | 23.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5this page
- Genoa CFC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Genoa CFC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.