South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlético San Luis vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce71d0c6fd7e47b52048bb9b8b27139dd0e7edc9374f93b2975bd40d5d9d5010
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.97 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 3,894$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.91 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 2,039$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.35 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…5a30backed Over | 51c | 1,766$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccaa…d428backed Over | 6c | 1,454$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…9f58backed Over | 6c | 1,204$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 49c | 1,013$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.29 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 847.84$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.78 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 834.03$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.61 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 353.62$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.24 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 10c | 277.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 49c | 255.7$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 55c | 236.49$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 51c | 201.96$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.96 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 51c | 197.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.63 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…1f58backed Under | 57c | 184.73$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 51c | 149.02$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f70…97f7backed Over | 51c | 107.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 46c | 99.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 68c | 92.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 57c | 73.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +121%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x313c…61d9backed Under | 56c | 70.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under | 74c | 62.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 50c | 46.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 52c | 38.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Under | 51c | 32.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 32.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…279cbacked Over | 50c | 31.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 59c | 31.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 50c | 20.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlético San Luis vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Atlético San Luis vs. Querétaro FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.