NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde40bdcd3d6445127e89b8149a8d6123dbc5a8c21bd536cc9d741045e3c92144
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Under | 61c | 7,482$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.78 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 5,111$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.34 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…ef56backed Over | 59c | 4,992$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.91 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 61c | 4,529$2,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,762.68 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 2,553$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.58 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 2,060$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 39c | 1,955$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.51 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…35efbacked Under | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 57c | 1,747$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.05 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over | 43c | 1,636$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.23 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 43c | 1,509$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.65 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 1,325$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.46 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 40c | 1,128$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.14 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Over | 63c | 1,016$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.44 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 56c | 801.18$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.23 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 710.36$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.92 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Under | 49c | 589.99$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.1 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 575.94$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.49 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Over | 48c | 531.25$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.25 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 39c | 520$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.2 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 40c | 455.75$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Over | 55c | 360.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.52 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 39c | 256.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.76 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 40c | 251.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 43c | 232$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.24 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 199.91$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 57c | 194.74$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 49c | 164.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.14 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 57c | 161.56$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 38c | 153.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 39c | 109.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 58c | 105.86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 49c | 102.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 56c | 98.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Under | 21c | 96.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Over | 39c | 85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Over | 45c | 85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Over | 39c | 64.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 56c | 61.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…0a40backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 71c | 46.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…daf0backed Under | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…3d0fbacked Over | 42c | 35.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Under | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Under | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Under | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Under | 61c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2770…5c90backed Under | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…d3bebacked Under | 57c | 27.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c71…863bbacked Under | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Over | 54c | 25.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Over | 53c | 24.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…315bbacked Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 46c | 22.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 61c | 20.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Under | 61c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Under | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 220.5this page
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Egor Demin: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Egor Demin: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Spread: Nets (-13.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-19.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Nets (-24.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Nets (-29.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Nets (-4.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-5.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-7.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-9.5)Nets won
- Wizards vs. NetsNets won
- Wizards vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Wizards vs. Nets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 218.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 219.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 234.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.