NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1a95d1be7540671ee8618c4597c77b2064ae96e46c61e1afead98f884d31335
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Under | 55c | 49,241$27,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,150.22 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 41,396$19,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,385.76 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Under | 52c | 33,128$17,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,318.18 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 46c | 22,304$10,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,972.45 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 7,500$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,083.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 6,902$3,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,721.17 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 48c | 6,628$3,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,446.37 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Under | 56c | 4,932$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.74 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 54c | 4,003$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.79 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Over | 46c | 2,957$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.52 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 49c | 1,530$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.3 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over | 48c | 1,521$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.83 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Over | 48c | 1,488$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.5 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 45c | 1,017$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.99 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 46c | 913.04$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.04 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 43c | 555.67$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.73 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Over | 41c | 518.88$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.14 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5f…e454backed Over | 52c | 367.18$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 47c | 358.58$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.05 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 46c | 312.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.76 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 46c | 189.32$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.63 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 171.94$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.36 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad08…67a5backed Under | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 46c | 109.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 50c | 107$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 47c | 105.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 48c | 85.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 53c | 82.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 48c | 70.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Over | 45c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Over | 46c | 51.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 54c | 44.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Under | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 46c | 43.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 28c | 41.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Over | 48c | 39.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Under | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…daf0backed Over | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Over | 46c | 33.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Over | 46c | 33.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Under | 55c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Over | 59c | 30.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Under | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Over | 48c | 24.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 50c | 22.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 57c | 22.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 218.5this page
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Egor Demin: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Egor Demin: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Spread: Nets (-13.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-19.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Nets (-24.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Nets (-29.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Nets (-4.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-5.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-7.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-9.5)Nets won
- Wizards vs. NetsNets won
- Wizards vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Wizards vs. Nets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 219.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 234.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.