NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8639adb691ae8063e4ee21c3cda6bf1e1626cdac07a8039abba658ef2a8f146f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Over | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,999.97 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 48c | 16,510$7,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,924.82 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 48c | 15,661$7,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,517.16 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 9,346$4,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,467.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 7,496$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,597.21 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 6,445$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 52c | 2,942$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.31 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Over | 53c | 2,504$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.78 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 1,921$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.03 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 51c | 1,444$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.56 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 518.82$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.41 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Over | 74c | 497.7$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 418.44$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.5 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 207 | 28.5%59 W · 148 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Over | 66c | 249.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 48c | 249.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.43 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 8c | 234.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…8f73backed Under | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…fbc2backed Over | 53c | 181.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 48c | 136$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…7f42backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 46c | 107.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5e…8da1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 53c | 97.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Under | 48c | 96.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 53c | 66.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 50c | 60.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 47.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7a…737bbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…ce56backed Over | 52c | 37.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over | 66c | 36.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Over | 52c | 35.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Under | 47c | 34.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea5b…6c99backed Over | 53c | 29.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Over | 53c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Over | 53c | 24.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…72a4backed Over | 52c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…c8f4backed Under | 50c | 21.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb706…c2adbacked Over | 66c | 20.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 206 | 41.7%86 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…2048backed Over | 66c | 16.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 216.5this page
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Egor Demin: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Egor Demin: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Spread: Nets (-13.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-19.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Nets (-24.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Nets (-29.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Nets (-4.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-5.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-7.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-9.5)Nets won
- Wizards vs. NetsNets won
- Wizards vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Wizards vs. Nets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 218.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 219.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 234.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.