TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nets (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Nets, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$237,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$241,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,069 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Nets54c130,000$70,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,799.9240446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Wizards45c107,327$48,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,771.821,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards46c54,911$25,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,258.952,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Nets55c38,637$21,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,397.371,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards46c10,738$4,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,972.554,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Wizards46c5,512$2,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,535.862,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Nets55c5,279$2,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,375.552,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Nets55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Nets53c4,569$2,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.481,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wizards47c4,045$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.925,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83bd…bdbfbacked Nets50c3,889$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Wizards44c3,449$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.0918747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Nets53c3,063$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.724744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Wizards46c2,754$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.0187750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Nets55c2,567$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.391,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Wizards47c2,343$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1019051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Nets58c2,213$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.564651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets54c1,626$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.073,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Nets55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67548957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Nets48c1,458$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.3349246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets55c1,344$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.29,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Wizards47c1,078$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.5815147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Wizards47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47014358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Wizards48c916.22$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.141,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards47c797.29$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.846,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Wizards2c722.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4940849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Wizards46c466.68$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6753043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Wizards47c461.34$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.831,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Nets46c336.67$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.816339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Wizards49c326.73$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16021743.8%95 W · 122 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Wizards48c222.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.823,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Wizards46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Wizards47c205$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3591148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Wizards53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10659144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Nets53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7150653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets53c166.98$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.481,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Wizards28c142.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4055846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Nets55c132.88$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.832952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Wizards46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Wizards49c121.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8689050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Nets59c118.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.648357.8%48 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d1…a379backed Wizards42c117.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Wizards46c115.26$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0292750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Nets55c113.22$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6950651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Wizards53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5351651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Nets54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4652240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Wizards47c96.02$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1348451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Wizards48c93.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f28…1b16backed Wizards50c84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4211250%56 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Wizards46c84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6453945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Wizards42c83.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515846.8%74 W · 84 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Wizards46c82.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8716443.9%72 W · 92 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Wizards46c82.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8715040%60 W · 90 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Nets55c79.19$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.631,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Wizards47c78.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0927943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Wizards19c77.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.130244%133 W · 169 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Nets54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0732654.3%177 W · 149 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Nets53c71.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.749358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Wizards45c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.547045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Wizards46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Wizards46c60.66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.93253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa30…c7abbacked Wizards42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511448.2%55 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Nets54c57.27$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1895047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed Nets54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5618256.6%103 W · 79 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wizards48c55.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.453,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Wizards47c54.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8162844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Wizards43c53.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2362450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…1adfbacked Wizards48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Nets53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.175360.4%32 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Wizards45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2535…2f8bbacked Wizards45c44.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.994746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets64c43.1$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.523,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64aa…7f42backed Wizards47c42.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Wizards48c41.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0425143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Wizards48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Wizards42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.829645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Nets53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7437852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Nets61c37.51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5533258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Nets55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf2…5803backed Wizards48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Nets59c30.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7757657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc525…daf0backed Wizards46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.85644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed1b…4045backed Wizards46c28.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.056048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2440…4f7ebacked Nets47c26.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.122138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3778…8604backed Wizards48c21.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.266071.7%43 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc12…05f2backed Wizards47c21.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96a7…f82ebacked Nets51c20.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.182065%13 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40a6…a17ebacked Wizards50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012148.8%59 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba88…ec75backed Nets55c19.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.673243.8%14 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a55…fe8bbacked Nets64c15.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6716552.1%86 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.