TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Nets: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Netsof Wizards, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$866
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $866 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Nets77c386.14$296 inWon+$89.835,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x640b…ec00backed Wizards21c272.19$57 inLost-$57.162060%12 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+37.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked Wizards27c129.63$35 inLost-$355848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Wizards32c112$36 inLost-$35.848752.9%46 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Wizards35c111$39 inLost-$38.8510143.6%44 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3517…9f8dbacked Nets68c40$27 inWon+$12.83447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43dc…88cfbacked Nets65c40$26 inWon+$143551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4d…d33fbacked Nets65c31$20 inWon+$10.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd1…0100backed Nets68c31$21 inWon+$9.923351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66f7…2894backed Nets68c27$18 inWon+$8.642958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf06a…cfdabacked Nets65c21$14 inWon+$7.353435.3%12 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x98ae…2bfebacked Nets65c19$12 inWon+$6.653250%16 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.