Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Oregon State Beavers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x061fd4f7121fd69a75382760bde48f850484cbe2aa528c04ee0c313bc2d203d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Santa Clara Broncosof Santa Clara Broncos, Oregon State Beavers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Santa Clara Broncos | 70c | 1,003$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.54 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Oregon State Beavers | 5c | 881.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oregon State Beavers | 30c | 797.01$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 71c | 499.05$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Oregon State Beavers | 30c | 449$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Oregon State Beavers | 29c | 295.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 72c | 245.35$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Oregon State Beavers | 14c | 208.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Oregon State Beavers | 28c | 145.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Oregon State Beavers | 27c | 113$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Oregon State Beavers | 22c | 92.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Santa Clara Broncos | 71c | 84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Oregon State Beavers | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Oregon State Beavers | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Santa Clara Broncos | 79c | 58.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Oregon State Beavers | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Santa Clara Broncos | 79c | 48.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Santa Clara Broncos | 71c | 48.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oregon State Beavers | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Santa Clara Broncos | 73c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Santa Clara Broncos | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Oregon State Beavers | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Santa Clara Broncos | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Santa Clara Broncos | 70c | 19.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Santa Clara Broncos | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Santa Clara Broncos | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Santa Clara Broncos | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Santa Clara Broncos | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Santa Clara Broncos | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Oregon State Beaversthis page
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Oregon State Beavers: O/U 150.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Oregon State Beavers: O/U 151.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Oregon State Beavers: O/U 152.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Oregon State Beavers: O/U 153.5Over won
- Spread: Santa Clara Broncos (-5.5)Santa Clara Broncos won
- Spread: Santa Clara Broncos (-6.5)Santa Clara Broncos won
- Spread: Santa Clara Broncos (-7.5)Santa Clara Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.