Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Hanyu Guo vs Dominika Salkova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66eef4091000fc8f944df8324c6dc0fdf0901e7cae83abe48731a6c5a691895c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Salkovaof Guo, Salkova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Salkova | 54c | 10,628$5,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,890.7 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Guo | 46c | 4,189$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.07 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Salkova | 54c | 1,998$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.77 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Guo | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.93 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Guo | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Guo | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Guo | 46c | 1,011$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.06 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Salkova | 54c | 892.39$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.18 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Guo | 46c | 869$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.74 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Guo | 37c | 816.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.84 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Salkova | 79c | 685.78$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.45 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Guo | 47c | 636.17$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.28 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Salkova | 52c | 577.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.44 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Guo | 48c | 464.6$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.01 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Guo | 47c | 403.43$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.49 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Salkova | 51c | 332.97$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Guo | 45c | 332.82$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.43 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Guo | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guo | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Salkova | 54c | 240$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Guo | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Guo | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Guo | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Salkova | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Salkova | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Guo | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Salkova | 52c | 140$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…aa77backed Guo | 49c | 139.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…638abacked Salkova | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…b16bbacked Guo | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Guo | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Salkova | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Guo | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Salkova | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Guo | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Guo | 47c | 76.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Salkova | 54c | 67.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59d5…2ff9backed Guo | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Guo | 27c | 59.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Salkova | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Guo | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Guo | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Guo | 48c | 46.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Guo | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Guo | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Salkova | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Salkova | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Guo | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Guo | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Guo | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Salkova | 51c | 36.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Guo | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Guo | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Guo | 46c | 23.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Guo | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Salkova | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Salkova | 65c | 19.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Hanyu Guo vs Dominika Salkovathis page
- Guo vs. Salkova: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Guo vs. Salkova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Guo vs SalkovaSalkova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.