Premier League · resolved market
Birmingham City FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2afe3bc3d394b1ffcb6cd51adbec103aaf286ffbde6decb19e58a24f8d452bf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 6,967$4,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,803.6 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 6,931$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,782.39 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked No | 41c | 176$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed No | 42c | 160$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked No | 42c | 128$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked No | 41c | 126$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed No | 42c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Yes | 59c | 89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed No | 42c | 83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Yes | 58c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…afe5backed Yes | 36c | 59.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked No | 42c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Yes | 58c | 57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Yes | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Yes | 58c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Yes | 58c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Yes | 59c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Yes | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Yes | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 64c | 30.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 37c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Yes | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed Yes | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Yes | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Yes | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Yes | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Yes | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Yes | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Yes | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Yes | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Yes | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Birmingham City FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Birmingham City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.