La Liga · resolved market
Will Granada CF win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5de30f771234383ad9f810f83b2d9204fd0b5984200a9318091a0d9adcb4da06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ea9…1a13backed No | 0c | 12,010$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 11,802$6,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,747.57 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked No | 47c | 10,093$4,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,767.67 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 66c | 3,500$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.46 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed No | 61c | 2,624$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.34 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked No | 61c | 1,322$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.39 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,227$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.52 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 69c | 651.67$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.02 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +12.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6767…d905backed Yes | 39c | 584.62$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 39c | 488.15$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.13 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed No | 33c | 480$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 54c | 437.86$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.66 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked No | 27c | 372.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 18c | 356.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 68c | 325$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 302.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 39c | 229.73$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.14 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 39c | 195.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.36 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Yes | 76c | 188.75$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 65c | 115$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 27c | 95.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 39c | 92.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Yes | 39c | 91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed No | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed No | 61c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed No | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked No | 61c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d0…e8c4backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will Granada CF vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-02-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.