La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89ff4611a68f199dad07e4c8812db7b764eb6bca82848a21009c684d3f62dac6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 30c | 4,992$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 2,936$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.61 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 33c | 2,090$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.7 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 67c | 2,090$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.7 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 1,999$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.28 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 1,645$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.46 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked No | 66c | 1,277$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.14 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 33c | 921.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 11c | 901.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…fab4backed Yes | 22c | 448.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 68c | 365.46$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 32c | 312.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 33c | 302.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 34c | 205$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 70c | 188.69$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 172.53$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…906bbacked Yes | 13c | 154.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1783…7180backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 32c | 147.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 31c | 133$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1f…602bbacked Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 33c | 120.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…9193backed Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 69c | 94.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…25b0backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 34c | 83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 31c | 79.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 68c | 76.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 31c | 72.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 32c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes | 31c | 49.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked No | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…7ec0backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed No | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked No | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed No | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed No | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked No | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will Granada CF vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-02-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.