NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce89fdba1e39a1c93e1def0e0644c5a3d089f0906586faf9aa3a0f5c8a190112
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Pistons, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Rockets | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Pistons | 52c | 8,471$4,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,405.05 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 46c | 7,255$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,894.28 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Pistons | 52c | 5,888$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,061.99 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 55c | 5,115$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Pistons | 52c | 2,900$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.99 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 48c | 2,847$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 46c | 2,255$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.04 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Rockets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Pistons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Pistons | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Pistons | 52c | 1,912$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Pistons | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Rockets | 48c | 1,659$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.68 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Pistons | 50c | 1,478$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.86 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Pistons | 52c | 1,474$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.67 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Rockets | 48c | 1,354$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.17 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 53c | 1,238$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.3 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Rockets | 54c | 1,217$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.51 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Pistons | 51c | 1,214$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 47c | 1,171$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.53 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Pistons | 20c | 1,100$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Pistons | 53c | 1,040$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.2 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Rockets | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0552…e377backed Rockets | 49c | 884$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…6d35backed Pistons | 52c | 712.91$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Rockets | 47c | 703.98$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.11 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Pistons | 52c | 577$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.16 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 48c | 512.71$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.61 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Rockets | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pistons | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Pistons | 53c | 339.62$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf203…f18cbacked Pistons | 51c | 332$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 49c | 319.83$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.46 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe528…e777backed Pistons | 51c | 288$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc852…0c09backed Pistons | 51c | 264$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Pistons | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Pistons | 54c | 230.46$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Rockets | 47c | 212.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.31 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Rockets | 47c | 211.55$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.12 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Pistons | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Rockets | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Rockets | 48c | 190$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Pistons | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Pistons | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d77…d08bbacked Pistons | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…a5a9backed Pistons | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Rockets | 46c | 184.12$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Pistons | 54c | 175.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Rockets | 47c | 165.22$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.95 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…608cbacked Pistons | 52c | 160.32$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Pistons | 53c | 150.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 47c | 141$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets | 47c | 132.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Rockets | 47c | 116.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Rockets | 48c | 116$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons | 53c | 114.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…eaf6backed Rockets | 54c | 111.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Rockets | 48c | 103.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Pistons | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…fd21backed Pistons | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…7061backed Pistons | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Pistons | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…dee4backed Pistons | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Pistons | 53c | 93.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Pistons | 52c | 85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Rockets | 48c | 70.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 243 | 32.9%80 W · 163 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…2438backed Pistons | 53c | 69.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Pistons | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…8c81backed Rockets | 50c | 62.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…b505backed Pistons | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…0c93backed Rockets | 47c | 57.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Pistons | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Pistons | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rockets | 51c | 52.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…777bbacked Rockets | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Pistons | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Pistons | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Rockets | 48c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Pistons | 49c | 45.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pistons | 49c | 43.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Rockets | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…c54abacked Rockets | 47c | 40.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Pistons | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Rockets | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Rockets | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Pistons | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9532…fba3backed Pistons | 53c | 37.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…2f93backed Pistons | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Pistons | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad48…4797backed Pistons | 51c | 32.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93df…cd6ebacked Rockets | 46c | 32.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…bbf8backed Rockets | 50c | 28.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Rockets | 48c | 28.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaa…05e1backed Pistons | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Rockets | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Rockets | 46c | 26.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets | 46c | 24.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9c…6b57backed Pistons | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Rockets won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. PistonsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.