Middle East · resolved market
Israel strikes Syria by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x694f908de10fadb2f28d5ec0f51a99771f7f7e69a03969e3149d573e7d3b90de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $406,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $421,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $406,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…4597backed Yes | 34c | 40,323$13,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,774.38 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 8c | 37,360$3,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,046.2 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8453…778dbacked No | 65c | 27,246$17,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,629.63 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 3c | 25,529$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.46 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 5c | 11,106$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.17 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 54c | 9,360$5,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,291.39 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…5bb5backed No | 79c | 7,855$6,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.79 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 8c | 5,083$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.06 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 0c | 5,054$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked No | 56c | 4,828$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 22c | 4,794$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.13 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 12c | 4,638$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.13 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 44c | 4,608$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.04 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 6c | 4,300$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.96 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes | 3c | 4,000$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…12fabacked No | 77c | 3,906$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 4c | 3,856$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.83 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 5c | 3,443$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked Yes | 9c | 3,093$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.55 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 17c | 3,072$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.01 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 41c | 2,873$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.8 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…7517backed No | 69c | 2,514$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2a…c8c8backed No | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked Yes | 23c | 2,394$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked No | 54c | 2,288$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.1 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa3…f82dbacked No | 73c | 2,067$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.18 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…c86fbacked No | 58c | 1,643$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 10c | 1,538$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.79 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948c…42eebacked Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b0…881dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 67c | 1,447$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.96 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc7…8a27backed No | 80c | 1,383$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 1,376$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.03 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 72c | 1,334$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.52 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 31c | 1,296$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.1 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…cd45backed No | 73c | 1,031$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed No | 42c | 1,009$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.48 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 1,008$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.97 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 13c | 907.59$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.15 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 26c | 860.41$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.71 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…b593backed Yes | 25c | 850$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.5 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 825.67$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.88 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…c21ebacked No | 50c | 825.08$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 2c | 756.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 2c | 666$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 92 | 17.4%16 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed No | 68c | 664.92$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.75 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 35c | 659.85$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…1495backed Yes | 26c | 637.73$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4895…0a83backed Yes | 18c | 606.38$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80e…afe1backed Yes | 14c | 585.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 10c | 566.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 26c | 565.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.67 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 14c | 551.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 8c | 523.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4083…363fbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…0587backed No | 52c | 500$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.57 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 40c | 475.09$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.56 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +10.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked No | 69c | 473$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.9 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 8c | 472.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked No | 71c | 399.19$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.14 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…24f7backed No | 77c | 393.09$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Yes | 43c | 386$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed No | 59c | 350$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…31f5backed No | 52c | 347.9$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 58c | 340$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 160 | 61.9%99 W · 61 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…7e15backed No | 75c | 338$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 16c | 332.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…2b5fbacked Yes | 12c | 332.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…bfb1backed Yes | 14c | 330.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 78c | 330$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…fe65backed Yes | 10c | 327.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 31c | 326$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…3222backed No | 78c | 312.77$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 10c | 308.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 65c | 305.01$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…96d3backed No | 54c | 299.65$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.82 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 23c | 292.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…6352backed No | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…8496backed Yes | 17c | 287$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 12c | 276.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 56c | 267.87$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.14 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4581…c6adbacked No | 77c | 255.04$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd99…df91backed No | 67c | 254$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…f0afbacked Yes | 28c | 248.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Yes | 8c | 244.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…3d36backed No | 64c | 235.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 33c | 217.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 18c | 217.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Yes | 8c | 214.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 13c | 206$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 10c | 200.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…1811backed No | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.