Fifa International · resolved market
Cody Gakpo: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff0e472c34bb7a26c09a65a8fd690ed979224909860b89f4dbf2cb1fe646af12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked No | 75c | 2,834$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.84 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 74c | 1,175$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.42 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No | 74c | 1,023$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.02 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked No | 73c | 926.82$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.58 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 75c | 800$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…437fbacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 26c | 623.08$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.87 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.56 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 74c | 525.37$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.77 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 74c | 499.95$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.96 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 47c | 493.83$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.12 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 74c | 355.99$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.67 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 9c | 309.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…9f33backed Yes | 26c | 299.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.91 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…3835backed Yes | 26c | 296.15$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 75c | 289$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.75 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 25c | 264$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x318e…fc89backed Yes | 26c | 261.54$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 25c | 221$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.75 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…4eb6backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…df9abacked Yes | 27c | 183.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.67 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 7c | 178.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 9c | 167$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 74c | 159.43$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.98 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed No | 9c | 157.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 9c | 156$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 16c | 136$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…2813backed Yes | 24c | 124.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.41 | 173 | 36.4%63 W · 110 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…b512backed Yes | 27c | 122.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 24c | 115.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 26c | 115.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes | 75c | 105.68$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +20.0wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…f6f6backed Yes | 22c | 103.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6a…4694backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4265…3741backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 18c | 98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 74c | 79.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 26c | 73.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…a74dbacked Yes | 27c | 70.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 80c | 70$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 71c | 61.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa03e…727abacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…3f22backed Yes | 25c | 59.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 133 | 28.6%38 W · 95 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 26c | 54.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…4ca0backed No | 25c | 54.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 272 | 42.3%115 W · 157 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9429…fd87backed No | 75c | 45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…7b6cbacked Yes | 26c | 44.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 338 | 47.9%162 W · 176 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 76c | 32.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 74c | 21.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cody Gakpo: 1+ goalsthis page
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 1+ assistsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 1+ goalsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 2+ goalsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Crysencio Summerville: 1+ goalsNo won
- Crysencio Summerville: 2+ assistsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 2+ goalsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 3+ shotsNo won
- Guus Til: 2+ assistsNo won
- Guus Til: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 2+ goalsNo won
- Memphis Depay: 2+ goalsNo won
- Noa Lang: 2+ assistsNo won
- Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Wout Weghorst: 1+ goalsNo won
- Wout Weghorst: 2+ assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.