TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brian Brobbey: 2+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,732
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,732 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1473…6f49backed Yes5c3,993$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.350%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcd2…0381backed Yes5c3,247$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8510819.4%21 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes5c2,084$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Yes5c1,615$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.52348.8%3 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7cb…fbe2backed Yes5c1,272$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.09400%0 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes4c1,102$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1436123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes5c1,063$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016016.3%26 W · 134 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Yes5c1,055$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x828b…fe53backed Yes5c1,042$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes5c1,028$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503189.4%30 W · 288 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes5c939.01$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4529018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f67…ba88backed Yes5c825$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.78430%0 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2397…55bcbacked Yes4c597.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.282123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc073…a9b0backed Yes4c449.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick9cpaid-37.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4029…c8b3backed Yes5c421.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205326.4%14 W · 39 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba4…44bebacked Yes4c381.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.740%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes5c354.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes4c318.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1243819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd255…bbcabacked Yes7c222.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168711.5%10 W · 77 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.