Fifa International · resolved market
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9407be4a75682f8a722347c960546821b6513d871857b6dd25b040903a78c8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 79c | 5,549$4,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked No | 77c | 4,252$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.96 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x794d…53c8backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83c…e423backed Yes | 23c | 2,110$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.19 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked No | 76c | 1,472$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.44 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e0…206dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 23c | 765.22$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 75c | 750$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…04f7backed Yes | 17c | 750$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 156 | 21.8%34 W · 122 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 75c | 436.92$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.83 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 75c | 416.6$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…3745backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 25c | 398.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 26c | 358.92$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 160 | 16.3%26 W · 134 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 75c | 324.93$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a32…9c25backed Yes | 23c | 318.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…3601backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked Yes | 22c | 294$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 74c | 229.54$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc977…56f1backed Yes | 23c | 208.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 300 | 32.3%97 W · 203 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9045…58ffbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc2…6d48backed Yes | 28c | 180.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5996…d1b9backed Yes | 29c | 174.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 76c | 165$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1daa…555cbacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 12c | 149.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | +15.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 78c | 121.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b0…4758backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 22c | 119.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf150…b6ffbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 80c | 94.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 75c | 91.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…9241backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 76c | 75.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 77c | 68.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a9…c44abacked Yes | 23c | 65.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 23c | 60.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e9…b675backed Yes | 19c | 52.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 462 | 47.6%220 W · 242 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…270abacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -16.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 76c | 48.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 24c | 41.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9429…fd87backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsthis page
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 1+ assistsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 1+ goalsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 2+ goalsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 1+ goalsYes won
- Cody Gakpo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Crysencio Summerville: 1+ goalsNo won
- Crysencio Summerville: 2+ assistsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 2+ goalsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 3+ shotsNo won
- Guus Til: 2+ assistsNo won
- Guus Til: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 2+ goalsNo won
- Memphis Depay: 2+ goalsNo won
- Noa Lang: 2+ assistsNo won
- Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Wout Weghorst: 1+ goalsNo won
- Wout Weghorst: 2+ assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.