Fifa International · resolved market
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59663850078da28861c6734052b8acdfb39fc1343a376cc7192c7f0f4c6bf319
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0e5…9623backed Yes | 16c | 423.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…9e38backed Yes | 14c | 258$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 12c | 251.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 19c | 248$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 77c | 151.43$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed Yes | 25c | 147.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 80c | 122$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa018…3d31backed Yes | 21c | 94.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d2…05a8backed No | 79c | 79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x262c…5f00backed Yes | 20c | 74.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…90bdbacked Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 199 | 44.2%88 W · 111 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 74c | 54.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 80c | 33.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed No | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No | 79c | 20.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked No | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goalsthis page
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 1+ assistsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 1+ goalsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 2+ goalsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 1+ goalsYes won
- Cody Gakpo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Crysencio Summerville: 1+ goalsNo won
- Crysencio Summerville: 2+ assistsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 2+ goalsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 3+ shotsNo won
- Guus Til: 2+ assistsNo won
- Guus Til: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 2+ goalsNo won
- Memphis Depay: 2+ goalsNo won
- Noa Lang: 2+ assistsNo won
- Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Wout Weghorst: 1+ goalsNo won
- Wout Weghorst: 2+ assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.