MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8397596406c8bd2636a51c9aab9902e730f5b69c2ef9d445f38f35e68cb7b6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 18,504$7,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,753.24 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 49c | 13,959$6,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,147.56 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 10,808$6,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,323.72 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 38c | 8,925$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381.27 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 51c | 2,428$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.18 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.81 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 41c | 1,878$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.17 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 56c | 1,384$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.17 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 1,179$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.49 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Under | 61c | 1,155$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.45 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 1,135$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.18 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.47 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 850.75$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.25 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc279…6465backed Under | 50c | 764.8$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.4 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 636.26$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.4 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 612$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.18 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 53c | 607.1$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.91 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4ef3backed Over | 52c | 439.19$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.34 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Over | 78c | 408.68$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.77 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 52c | 270$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.34 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 57c | 265.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 35c | 222.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…dc4dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 52c | 196.11$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 39c | 190.61$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 44c | 156.16$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 60c | 155.51$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 47c | 149.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 45c | 148.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 131.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 50c | 128.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Over | 52c | 90.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c3…13e5backed Over | 51c | 89.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Under | 47c | 87.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Under | 47c | 81.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 76.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 48c | 57.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Under | 60c | 54.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 29c | 53.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 58c | 42.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 48c | 39.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 38.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 60c | 37.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 38c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 48c | 32.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 39c | 30.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Under | 50c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…5ed1backed Under | 64c | 29.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 242 | 63.6%154 W · 88 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed Over | 78c | 28.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 39c | 27.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…aa71backed Under | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…1ab5backed Over | 51c | 26.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 45c | 22.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.