TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pittsburgh Piratesof Los Angeles Dodgers, Pittsburgh Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,899
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,445

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,899 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3170…c6a0backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c20,492$10,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,845.941844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates73c8,190$6,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,187.518,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers30c6,695$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.9310,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1805,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Pittsburgh Pirates47c5,500$2,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,91546048.5%223 W · 237 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates47c3,429$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.486,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates47c2,900$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.8511,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates60c2,836$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.74,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Pittsburgh Pirates47c1,955$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.351,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers29c1,791$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.23,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Los Angeles Dodgers28c1,623$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.5149540.2%199 W · 296 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Los Angeles Dodgers37c1,275$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.9187552.7%461 W · 414 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c1,262$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.241,38650.6%702 W · 684 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates59c1,021$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.5712,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Pittsburgh Pirates76c1,000$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24282636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Dodgers38c963.12$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.311,87452%975 W · 899 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates54c933.86$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.858,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2e…f6c3backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c801.77$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.92425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Los Angeles Dodgers35c783.97$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.941,85544%817 W · 1,038 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c771.07$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40094734.4%326 W · 621 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates77c685.4$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.684,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates59c639.5$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.512,09351.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L+44.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Pittsburgh Pirates47c631.8$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.853855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates49c508.52$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.384,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c310.25$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.792,14950.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Pittsburgh Pirates77c303.51$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.811,93941.2%799 W · 1,140 L-30.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers27c276.16$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.199,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers38c274.77$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3448445.9%222 W · 262 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Los Angeles Dodgers23c271.8$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.511,79750.4%906 W · 891 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c250.6$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.313,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Pittsburgh Pirates48c197$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4410345.6%47 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c195.31$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5648150.7%244 W · 237 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates66c177.15$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741,17643.8%515 W · 661 L-33.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Pittsburgh Pirates66c163.67$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4228245.7%129 W · 153 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers31c140.56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.18,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates76c133.53$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.051,94753.1%1,033 W · 914 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1730848.1%148 W · 160 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11a5…2fa8backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022254.1%120 W · 102 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates48c90$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.833649.1%165 W · 171 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers50c86.46$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2367152.5%352 W · 319 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Pittsburgh Pirates58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-57.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2889…edcfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.46756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3443…64e9backed Pittsburgh Pirates78c79$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.387080%56 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Pittsburgh Pirates74c76.67$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6319548.2%94 W · 101 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Pittsburgh Pirates61c75.41$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.735658.1%207 W · 149 L+26.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Pittsburgh Pirates49c74.59$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0457053.3%304 W · 266 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c71.15$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371,21953.9%657 W · 562 L+32.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a48…9e7bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates50c67.8$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.919549.2%96 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaf8…27cfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302544%11 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Los Angeles Dodgers24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1559534.5%205 W · 390 L-22.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbafe…33a6backed Pittsburgh Pirates49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c60.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7213348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c60.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.022,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.557244.6%255 W · 317 L-35.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Pittsburgh Pirates70c58.58$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.523158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers20c52.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.345,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2649358.8%290 W · 203 L+30.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2613447%63 W · 71 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Los Angeles Dodgers37c42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.735044%22 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Pittsburgh Pirates49c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6239049%191 W · 199 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Pittsburgh Pirates49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8223142.9%99 W · 132 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a89…eddabacked Pittsburgh Pirates50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Pittsburgh Pirates77c38.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8952752.2%275 W · 252 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Pittsburgh Pirates49c36.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.873855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c36.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1783854.7%458 W · 380 L+29.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates49c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.839255.4%51 W · 41 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Pittsburgh Pirates57c29.52$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6947056.6%266 W · 204 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd4…de15backed Pittsburgh Pirates66c27.87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4820161.2%123 W · 78 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0f7…26b3backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c27.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.182161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates69c23.93$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.353,46051.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L+107.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8379…3c91backed Pittsburgh Pirates72c16.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.53666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates72c14.37$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414129.8%42 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.