Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43a34f2cf5ac51db8ba4e242de5ea383fb97edba13770a037926625ec6663e10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Invictus Gamingof Invictus Gaming, Oh My God
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Invictus Gaming | 44c | 7,679$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300.12 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Oh My God | 52c | 5,967$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,082.6 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Invictus Gaming | 49c | 5,377$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.39 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Oh My God | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 189 | 45.5%86 W · 103 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Oh My God | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Oh My God | 51c | 3,561$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Invictus Gaming | 45c | 3,283$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.73 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Invictus Gaming | 47c | 2,989$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.11 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Oh My God | 52c | 2,079$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.87 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Oh My God | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Invictus Gaming | 48c | 1,752$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.08 | 219 | 39.3%86 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Invictus Gaming | 45c | 670$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Oh My God | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…ca2abacked Oh My God | 53c | 550$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.5 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Oh My God | 53c | 535.02$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.56 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Oh My God | 56c | 515.81$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Oh My God | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Oh My God | 51c | 488.72$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.36 | 157 | 31.8%50 W · 107 L | -15.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Oh My God | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Oh My God | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Oh My God | 44c | 462.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.45 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Invictus Gaming | 49c | 422.45$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.45 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Oh My God | 50c | 392.52$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.51 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Oh My God | 53c | 190.74$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Invictus Gaming | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Oh My God | 53c | 162$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -13.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Oh My God | 51c | 141.18$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Oh My God | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Invictus Gaming | 50c | 124.72$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Invictus Gaming | 48c | 122.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Invictus Gaming | 51c | 118.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…1865backed Invictus Gaming | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Invictus Gaming | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Oh My God | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Oh My God | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Invictus Gaming | 48c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe2…607bbacked Invictus Gaming | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…e2d0backed Oh My God | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Oh My God | 54c | 31.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Invictus Gaming | 50c | 31.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Invictus Gaming | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Oh My God | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Invictus Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Invictus Gaming won
- Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs Oh My God (+2.5)Invictus Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights RivalsInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 3 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.