Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc550d12b2b7cf06d10379cbd3b34328cf6a2e860969a2ce86d54ecaf1ae52772
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8568…bc38backed Over | 10c | 3,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Under | 73c | 2,392$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.08 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 29c | 1,040$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.4 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 41c | 667.85$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.59 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 62c | 666.95$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.38 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 26c | 499.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.98 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 71c | 335.77$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.4 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -12.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…5c2abacked Over | 22c | 251.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf291…ba23backed Over | 65c | 230.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Under | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 28c | 160.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.83 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed Over | 74c | 142.29$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…0501backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 28c | 127.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Under | 44c | 101.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…d0efbacked Over | 15c | 101.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…3ba0backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…d83bbacked Over | 72c | 99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Over | 30c | 95.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c30…d531backed Over | 71c | 81.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Over | 44c | 81.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Over | 66c | 79.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Under | 75c | 76.92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…f879backed Over | 66c | 76.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Under | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Over | 66c | 63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…0635backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked Over | 74c | 47.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 625 | 58.7%367 W · 258 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x608d…3933backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…23b9backed Over | 74c | 33.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c8c3backed Over | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 63c | 31.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 142 | 66.9%95 W · 47 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08e6…1e5ebacked Over | 58c | 29.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…e72dbacked Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 66c | 23.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 364 | 67.3%245 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Over | 59c | 22.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Invictus Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Invictus Gaming won
- Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)Invictus Gaming won
- Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs Oh My God (+2.5)Invictus Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights RivalsInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 3 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.