Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. East Carolina Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x226bfdaa57e8389dd211ff16c41475fc0d598424155f9321ebbe53f0088e35c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Bonaventure Bonniesof St. Bonaventure Bonnies, East Carolina Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 79c | 2,111$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.33 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed East Carolina Pirates | 21c | 1,105$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.53 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed East Carolina Pirates | 15c | 777.68$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.67 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed East Carolina Pirates | 15c | 654.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked East Carolina Pirates | 17c | 465.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed East Carolina Pirates | 20c | 448.2$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed East Carolina Pirates | 25c | 426.11$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked East Carolina Pirates | 16c | 406.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked East Carolina Pirates | 16c | 403.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed East Carolina Pirates | 22c | 366$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked East Carolina Pirates | 19c | 350.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed East Carolina Pirates | 30c | 314$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed East Carolina Pirates | 22c | 311.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6547…a2a0backed East Carolina Pirates | 18c | 311.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 72c | 288$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed East Carolina Pirates | 16c | 280$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 76c | 260$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed East Carolina Pirates | 17c | 249.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed East Carolina Pirates | 9c | 233.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed East Carolina Pirates | 17c | 223.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed East Carolina Pirates | 23c | 185.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked East Carolina Pirates | 16c | 177.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked East Carolina Pirates | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed East Carolina Pirates | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed East Carolina Pirates | 17c | 100.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…6326backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked East Carolina Pirates | 19c | 99.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…01f2backed East Carolina Pirates | 15c | 99.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked East Carolina Pirates | 24c | 84.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -78%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…300cbacked East Carolina Pirates | 18c | 70.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…95b1backed East Carolina Pirates | 26c | 58.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 18cpaid | +108%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed East Carolina Pirates | 19c | 52.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked East Carolina Pirates | 22c | 48.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1e…1385backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…d617backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…8299backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 75cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. East Carolina Piratesthis page
- Spread: St. Bonaventure Bonnies (-8.5)St. Bonaventure Bonnies won
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 142.5Under won
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 143.5Under won
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 144.5Under won
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 145.5Under won
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 146.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.