Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9418f2178465b05b597be7d0a636efb5d19939920660be791c60725ff7542cc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Tideboundof Team Tidebound, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39c6…daeebacked Yakult Brothers | 36c | 13,377$4,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,773.71 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Team Tidebound | 65c | 9,102$5,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,205.18 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Yakult Brothers | 16c | 4,135$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.05 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Team Tidebound | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Team Tidebound | 63c | 2,696$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.63 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Tidebound | 79c | 2,238$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.71 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Team Tidebound | 79c | 1,906$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.43 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228a…1094backed Team Tidebound | 62c | 1,300$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…6aedbacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Tidebound | 73c | 1,012$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.63 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Yakult Brothers | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 998.51$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.45 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yakult Brothers | 18c | 795.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.1 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…e8b1backed Yakult Brothers | 29c | 777.83$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.38 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 776.53$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.5 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…5ff1backed Team Tidebound | 70c | 700.58$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.88 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Yakult Brothers | 23c | 700$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed Team Tidebound | 63c | 634.22$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed Yakult Brothers | 13c | 500.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yakult Brothers | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 499.97$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd55…fc45backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 461.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…51d7backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yakult Brothers | 21c | 435.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Team Tidebound | 79c | 348.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Tidebound | 63c | 322.57$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Team Tidebound | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yakult Brothers | 19c | 283.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Yakult Brothers | 17c | 281.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Tidebound | 75c | 239$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Team Tidebound | 67c | 225.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.07 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Tidebound | 58c | 215$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Yakult Brothers | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Yakult Brothers | 13c | 186.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…6960backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 180$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Yakult Brothers | 26c | 173.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yakult Brothers | 35c | 144.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Yakult Brothers | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 130$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Team Tidebound | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Team Tidebound | 79c | 116.14$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yakult Brothers | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yakult Brothers | 25c | 102$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d79…13fdbacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…c30ebacked Team Tidebound | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Team Tidebound | 61c | 84.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Team Tidebound | 63c | 68.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 68.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…092ebacked Team Tidebound | 75c | 63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Tidebound | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Team Tidebound | 76c | 53.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Team Tidebound | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Yakult Brothers | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Yakult Brothers | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Team Tidebound | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Yakult Brothers | 25c | 43.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Yakult Brothers | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…f49cbacked Team Tidebound | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 27 | 92.6%25 W · 2 L | +6.5wins | +0.24per pick | 69cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Team Tidebound | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5635…3534backed Team Tidebound | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 68cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Team Tidebound | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Team Tidebound | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…a29abacked Team Tidebound | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17da…8375backed Team Tidebound | 63c | 19.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.