MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1445a844f86113b5ca1fa756e868dfa453b17309ec133b900a8afbfddcacf353
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $246,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed New York Mets | 55c | 22,727$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets | 41c | 21,178$8,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,733.15 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 19,806$9,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,605.27 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets | 42c | 19,021$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000.43 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Mets | 54c | 15,713$8,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,485.02 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed New York Mets | 63c | 15,692$9,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,930.66 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed New York Mets | 55c | 12,496$6,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,817.62 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 10,756$4,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,903 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.97 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.88 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked New York Mets | 0c | 6,600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked New York Mets | 26c | 6,086$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.39 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 5,579$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.2 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 5,497$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.76 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 5,148$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.67 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 54c | 5,115$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.87 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 57c | 4,567$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.89 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 4,028$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.85 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Mets | 54c | 3,546$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.84 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 3,200$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 2,989$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.86 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 2,871$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.32 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Mets | 55c | 2,764$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.64 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed New York Mets | 54c | 2,214$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed New York Mets | 1c | 2,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets | 42c | 1,703$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.54 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 1,496$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.67 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed New York Mets | 1c | 1,228$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Mets | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,150$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.69 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed New York Mets | 3c | 1,143$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 1,083$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.09 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed New York Mets | 13c | 1,079$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets | 33c | 1,064$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.38 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,045$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.31 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed New York Mets | 28c | 1,037$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.25 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…a8efbacked New York Mets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 985.06$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.93 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 963.72$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.1 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 915.99$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.16 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 893.56$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.67 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 872.57$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.1 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 869.05$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.05 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b62…1fe9backed New York Mets | 6c | 815.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Mets | 54c | 809$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.86 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 782.6$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.6 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 709.96$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.38 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed New York Mets | 2c | 680.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed New York Mets | 57c | 661.7$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.22 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked New York Mets | 54c | 653$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.62 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1a…c742backed New York Mets | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 599.59$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.97 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 549.99$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked New York Mets | 54c | 548.59$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.24 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 36c | 536.16$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.85 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 533.96$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.34 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 515.57$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.52 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 513.4$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.37 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 480$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.6 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…ab6cbacked New York Mets | 3c | 472.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed New York Mets | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed New York Mets | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed New York Mets | 44c | 417.26$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.3 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed New York Mets | 25c | 411$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 405 | 43.5%176 W · 229 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed New York Mets | 24c | 403.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked New York Mets | 14c | 344.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed New York Mets | 41c | 337.37$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.02 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked New York Mets | 43c | 328$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 326.46$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.96 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 313.42$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.31 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed New York Mets | 53c | 307.59$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.02 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 304.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 299.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.76 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 280$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 80c | 274.72$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Mets | 34c | 270.77$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 477 | 52.8%252 W · 225 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 257.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked New York Mets | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked New York Mets | 54c | 248$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68de…2309backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked New York Mets | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 222$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 200.38$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.2 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed New York Mets | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed New York Mets | 10c | 199.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed New York Mets | 10c | 194.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 848 | 40.2%341 W · 507 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsthis page
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-6.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 4.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.