Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x354540fd237ccca2d8f42b6e16b2c7289b72c2fda47c686ace8b5b85762cf2e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 16c | 10,022$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,418.42 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 11c | 1,370$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 27cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.61 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 34c | 454.53$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.57 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 79c | 259.62$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 220.47$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 21c | 211.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 18c | 157$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 35c | 138$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 59c | 123.93$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 31c | 119.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 64c | 115.47$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 34c | 108.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 76c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 34c | 74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 52c | 53.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed No | 67c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 34c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedd2…5e38backed Yes | 36c | 39.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…bb62backed Yes | 35c | 37.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…d93ebacked Yes | 36c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…4c08backed Yes | 36c | 33.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 51c | 31.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…45cdbacked Yes | 35c | 30.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cb…1dc1backed Yes | 35c | 30.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…8051backed No | 66c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…bff1backed No | 66c | 22.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…8e4cbacked No | 66c | 21.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…3b6abacked No | 66c | 21.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb578…ea1abacked No | 67c | 20.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…e2fdbacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…de29backed No | 67c | 18.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…8f32backed No | 66c | 18.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e2…0638backed No | 66c | 18.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa895…5548backed No | 66c | 17.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…7bbdbacked Yes | 62c | 16.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cf…7da5backed No | 68c | 15.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb769…2f74backed No | 66c | 15.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 15.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will CD Nacional vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CD Nacional win on 2026-01-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.