South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-05-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1868bf521102c5d4b63af8ad27df965266fa40ca3b1d6eaf9581d861d39d4eb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 17c | 1,562$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.51 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 4c | 1,446$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…f736backed Yes | 16c | 1,057$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 14c | 692.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 72c | 670.48$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.13 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 596.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes | 48c | 520.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 48c | 378.84$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.24 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 18c | 364.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 28c | 315$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 18c | 265.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 6c | 255$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 27c | 237$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 20c | 207.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 52c | 179.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed Yes | 50c | 172.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 52c | 164.52$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 15c | 156.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 22c | 128.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 52c | 116$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 113$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…2decbacked Yes | 28c | 108.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 16c | 105.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…ad3dbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 50c | 98.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 84.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 76c | 79.73$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3b…fee6backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 51c | 59.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 53c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad02…221abacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d8…7520backed No | 53c | 47.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 26c | 43.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73ad…fb53backed No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b8…5156backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 27c | 41.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…01debacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf37e…bb9abacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 35.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 51c | 31.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 49c | 23.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 51c | 21.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-05-07?this page
- Will CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-05-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.