South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-05-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2eda0d9f814196b4ea7992c64203f159c8f9848763dbfdf4169e9c722c07dccc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Yes | 55c | 6,049$3,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.46 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 4,150$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.89 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 10c | 2,367$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.42 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 76c | 2,308$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.08 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 34c | 2,115$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.23 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 54c | 1,995$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.76 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 35c | 1,458$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.14 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Yes | 56c | 1,281$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 60c | 1,183$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.73 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 25c | 1,174$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.27 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 46c | 875.4$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.06 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 76c | 651.37$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.04 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed No | 48c | 597.01$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.51 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 561.28$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 57c | 544.86$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.96 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 513.22$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.9 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 13c | 410.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Yes | 54c | 342.46$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.53 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 57c | 321$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.74 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 79c | 317.41$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…d890backed Yes | 24c | 229.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 21cpaid | +235.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 76c | 229.1$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 76c | 224.76$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.82 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 54c | 222.37$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.37 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 30c | 200.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 56c | 191.15$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 45c | 164.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 54c | 162.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…9430backed Yes | 62c | 160.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 20c | 152.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 60c | 138.26$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 112.23$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 38c | 104.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 99.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 47c | 96.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 95.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 46c | 90.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 77c | 84.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 84.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 43c | 79.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 46c | 77.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 51c | 72.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 30c | 63.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 22c | 60.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 19c | 57.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 29c | 44.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 77c | 43.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Yes | 58c | 38.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 54c | 36.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 55c | 36.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…31b4backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed No | 52c | 33.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0848…503abacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…cf00backed No | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d8…7520backed Yes | 53c | 28.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 75c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f7…56dbbacked Yes | 54c | 25.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…2451backed Yes | 47c | 25.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664e…eccdbacked Yes | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…f829backed Yes | 55c | 20.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…266cbacked Yes | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…61fcbacked Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked Yes | 74c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe620…cc08backed No | 76c | 15.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 77c | 15.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 75c | 14.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-05-07?this page
- Will CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw?No won
- Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-05-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.