South American Leagues · resolved market
Will América de Cali win on 2026-04-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc558d9ce5f4f447b4c8078d1bff2bc44ab872b6b6da230ea9aea3d83d8d6ee6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 35c | 5,246$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.05 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 75c | 1,381$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.73 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 65c | 1,370$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.7 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 64c | 1,223$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.28 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,070$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.11 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked No | 38c | 1,025$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.01 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 66c | 931.96$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.03 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 70c | 684.38$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.27 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 71c | 676$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.04 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 70c | 626$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 48c | 579.16$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.84 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 508.38$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.74 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 65c | 489.5$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.32 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 65c | 480.49$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.17 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 64c | 470.75$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.47 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 65c | 425.65$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.98 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 62c | 401$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.97 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 57c | 339.14$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 44c | 274.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.89 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 12c | 267.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 13c | 248.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 66c | 201.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 30c | 199.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…5ecdbacked Yes | 50c | 194.34$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 34c | 191.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 33c | 119.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 19c | 115.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 61c | 112.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 64c | 104.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 64c | 101.09$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 31c | 95.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed No | 38c | 87.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Yes | 30c | 77.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e6…819fbacked Yes | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 63c | 72.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 32c | 66.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 29c | 64.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 65c | 63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 29c | 57.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…723fbacked No | 36c | 55.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…4e0abacked Yes | 64c | 54.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 49c | 53.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 69c | 53.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 56c | 53.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Yes | 65c | 49.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 64c | 48.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 36c | 48.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 45c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 36c | 45.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 29c | 44.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Yes | 66c | 42.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 57c | 40.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 64c | 38.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…a40bbacked Yes | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 68c | 31.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bd…924cbacked Yes | 52c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 70c | 29.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 51c | 27.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…45aabacked Yes | 68c | 27.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 42c | 26.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 40c | 25.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ba…7ed1backed Yes | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Yes | 65c | 24.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Yes | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…a053backed Yes | 50c | 23.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed No | 70c | 22.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed Yes | 71c | 22.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Yes | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 72c | 20.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked No | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…b169backed Yes | 65c | 17.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Yes | 69c | 14.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will América de Cali win on 2026-04-15?this page
- Will América de Cali vs. Club Alianza Atlético end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Alianza Atlético win on 2026-04-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.