South American Leagues · resolved market
Will América de Cali vs. Club Alianza Atlético end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24638e5d3fb674201395670a9a88e88a757b8aa30b1d437c879c724c2c1ae900
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 6,272$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.41 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 76c | 2,297$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.54 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 1,083$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.15 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 76c | 998.7$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.69 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 75c | 772.28$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.07 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 75c | 772.28$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.07 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 76c | 762.58$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.02 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 75c | 656.67$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.17 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 75c | 656.67$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.17 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 602.38$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.07 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 77c | 432.94$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 27c | 341.69$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 21c | 136.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 67c | 133.62$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed Yes | 26c | 99.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 88.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 17c | 87.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 87.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Yes | 28c | 86.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 26c | 77.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 65.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 76c | 64.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 79c | 59.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…723fbacked Yes | 40c | 50.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…df71backed Yes | 39c | 46.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 75c | 45.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 68c | 42.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 74c | 33.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 75c | 30.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 80c | 30.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fda…0983backed No | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 65c | 24.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…02d6backed No | 76c | 24.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed No | 75c | 22.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed No | 75c | 21.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will América de Cali vs. Club Alianza Atlético end in a draw?this page
- Will América de Cali win on 2026-04-15?Yes won
- Will Club Alianza Atlético win on 2026-04-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.